Australia Creates a Power Supply Crisis

One thing I have learned over the last 40 years is that if you set the wrong targets, you get the wrong behaviour and, in turn, the wrong outcomes.

If you want to fix a problem, you look at what actions are necessary to resolve it. Setting Renewable Energy Targets (RET) will not resolve a Power Supply Crisis, only action will!

So what is needed? We need Power Stations that produce reliable ‘baseload supply’ when renewal energies sources do not… and we need them built now! What we don’t need is further delays talking about fanciful targets, while power stations continue to be closed without being replaced. 

It is simple supply and demand economics: the lower the supply the higher the price, the greater the chances of power blackouts and that’s what we have now, prices soaring at a rate of 20% pa!

I want to be clear: I am in favour of renewable energy and clean energy technology and I’m certainly in favour of lowering greenhouse emissions. However, the priority must be a top-down solution where we secure a reliable baseload power source to cover demand when intermittent renewable supplies are inadequate to meet peak loads or when weather conditions are unfavourable.

Build what we need not what we want! Wanting to build a power supply network based on Renewable Energy Targets has managed to bring the system to its knees, it has not worked, it has failed. We clearly have the wrong outcomes, all because Australia has taken a bottom-up (arse-about) approach to resolving a simple supply problem.

Build clean energy power stations. There are plenty of options for a country of only 24 million people and ample raw materials like coal and uranium, which can easily supplement renewable power sources, which still only accounts for approx. 40% of the energy supply when weather conditions permit.

What a moronic mindset; Australia exporting its coal to fuel the rest of the world’s ‘clean coal’ power stations, yet we refuse to build them at home! Is that how Australia achieves its Targets, by exporting their greenhouse emissions overseas and then taking the high moral ground for having a lower carbon footprint? Meanwhile Aussies are literally suffering in the dark through a long cold winter, particularly the youth, poor and disadvantaged!

Now, I know the solution sounds too simple and sensible, so I’ve probably lost the Green anarchists, the academic left, the wealthy and the under 35s; the politically apathetic demographic who are more likely to whinge the loudest when the system fails.

How can Australia get something so simple so completely wrong? “She’ll be right!”… I don’t think so!

See also Governments eliminating Greenhouse Emissions by shutting off the Power.

8 July 2017

Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity. – Martin Luther King, Jr.

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Governments Eliminating Greenhouse Emissions by Shutting Off the Power

One of the biggest disadvantages of minority governments is that in the middle of all the madness nothing actually gets done. We are now realising the consequences of decisions made at the ballot box, yet another gigantic, predictable and foreseen cost for the ‘constituents of Australia’, as we enter a prolonged period of irregular and unpredictable power supply blackouts. The inconvenience, cost and consequences for the public and the economy are the obvious inevitabilities, following decades of indecisive politicians with injudicious policies.

Every political party argues about which idealist has the biggest renewable energy target (RET) as if the award goes to the Party with the most short-sighted and unachievable target without consideration for the long-term consequences. They talk about intangibles i.e. ‘targets’ but no one is held to account for the lack of a viable plan to implement and achieve a workable outcome. Let’s not even consider the costs, because you can’t cost a plan that doesn’t exist.

I’m not against renewable energy or reducing greenhouse emissions, but I’m not in favour of reverting back to third world standards because a bunch of indecisive elected suits are incapable of doing their jobs. From what I can see coal generates approx. 73% of our power, natural gas 13%, so common sense would dictate that we secure an alternative supply of ‘constant’ or base load power source before we started shutting down power stations. What ideology is so blind that they can’t see that?

The alternative to base load power supply is, of course, renewable energy technology; hydro 7%, and intermittent power from wind and solar 7%. Broadly intermittent power can only be relied upon about 30% of the time, essentially dependent upon the right weather conditions.

The point is that when there is no intermittent power, we essentially have a 100% reliance on coal and gas. Even if wind farms could produce 100% of our power 30% of the time, it’s apparent that we still need coal and gas to produce 100% of supply when weather conditions prevent intermittent power generation. So why can’t the impaired see what is plainly obvious? It seems that vested interests line political pockets!

Why are we closing power stations before replacing them with alternative facilities to guarantee supply as the main priority? Would it be stating the obvious to say we should first guarantee supply before investing in unreliable renewable alternatives to the point of dependency?

Australia has some of the world’s largest deposits of uranium and coal yet somehow ‘blackouts’ are preferable to considering nuclear or clean coal technology. Why not get a return on the hundreds of millions of dollars invested by government into carbon capture and storage technology? Meanwhile, we fail to acknowledge that intermittent energy with current technology cannot be relied upon no matter how many wind farms we litter the landscape with, unless storage technology can be commercially adapted.

The truth is that there needs to be room for both renewable and traditional sources of power production, but first you must guarantee a reliable supply. So what is the right balance in a world of commercial imperatives and what chance do we have that those with extreme views will ever take their blinkers off for long enough to consider reality, rather than hold us all to ransom by literally keeping us in the dark? How much inflicted grief must we endure before there is a sensible debate?

Australians need to understand their voting responsibilities when they exercise the privileges provided by our democracy, after all, if you are looking for someone to take responsibility for this debacle then we need to focus inwardly and not blame some of the blind, intemperate and fanatical activists we put in office. The reality check is coming. We are facing a massive increase in the cost of power and we will all pay for their idiotic ideology. Unfortunately, the biggest losers will always be the working poor, disadvantaged and the youth, the demographics with no voice, the politically disenfranchised.

Forethought we may have, undoubtedly, but not foresight. – Napoleon Bonaparte.

21 February 2017